10 Comments
May 27·edited May 27Liked by Alex Sweet

Thanks for the write-up! Even as a Belgian, I never looked in depth at Bekaert. Here's an overview of my (lazy) perception from occasionally briefly glancing at the company:

- Before new management: cyclical debt-laden european industrial (stay away!)

- New mgmt: ok, has potential, but need to see results

- 2021: temporarily inflated profits, "don't buy on cyclical peak of earnings!"

- red flags in quick CEO turnover

- 2023-now: insider share sales

I assume i'm not the only one who looked at the stock like this.

Thanks for highlighting the company. Seems like it has more potential than I thought

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Thanks for your comment. It's extremely valuable to know what the typical perception of a stock is from someone close enough to know about the name.

I am not claiming that Bekaert is the best company I've written up. On the contrary, it's clearly one of the weaker ones. Nonetheless, I think there could be a good opportunity. My impression is that the stock is widely disliked and/or ignored, whereas I am tentatively prepared to give the new regime some credit for real improvements.

It seems that the CEO handover in 2023 was according to plan, from an interim stabilising CEO to a longer-term occupant of the post. Clearly the new guy has to prove his own track record for execution.

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May 27Liked by Alex Sweet

Very in depth analysis Alex . Interesting to hear what happened to Bridon after Melrose sold it . Thanks for your efforts .

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You're welcome! Many thanks for your kind comment.

Beware of buying something that Melrose is offering for sale? (Not sure how their other disposals have fared.)

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Sep 18Liked by Alex Sweet

Any thoughts on CFO Boussaid leaving in August?

I'm usually excited when a new chairman (Tinggren), appoints some new people (Schmid & Boussaid) to get the job done.

I'm usually a bit worried when those people leave before the market believes that the company is fixed/better/turned around.

Can always be coincidence & I have no empirical data to back this up though!

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Generally a CFO departure / change is never welcome.

In this case, I am intrigued about the replacement. Seppo Parvi is a genuine big hitter from a company four times Bekaert's market value. He resigned already in mid May "to assume a role with a company outside of the forest industry". This degree of advanced planning and consideration is somewhat reassuring.

Therefore I am inclined to take an optimistic view, and consider that the chairman is aiming to upgrade the execution capabilities of the executive team, both here as with the CEO change.

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Thanks, appreciate the reply!

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Hi Alex, great write-up. Indeed an iteresting set-up.

Back in my mind I have stored the info, that Electric Vehicles due to their weight need to change tires more often. Depending on EV penetration, that could be a small tailwind for the tire business.

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I agree, the EV transition is interesting for the tyre sector in general (both mix and frequency), as well as Bekaert in particular with its ultra tensile product.

Toyo Tire is a nice name with a relatively big position in the niche of US oversized tires for pickup truck enthusiasts. Incredibly cheap headline multiple, though I haven’t reviewed the recent financials to see what’s going on under the hood.

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I am sure its profits are having a great day with the yen depreciation...

Thanks for the analysis, Alex.

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